Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 2.945284 3.252623 3.584523 3.970590 4.408574 4.891463 5.466121
2025-07-06 2.386273 2.775722 3.223946 3.781441 4.461056 5.268768 6.310553
2025-07-13 2.124160 2.567178 3.101806 3.801525 4.703554 5.841599 7.409222
2025-07-20 1.957261 2.439773 3.045006 3.871306 4.987956 6.471041 8.635542
2025-07-27 1.832613 2.345358 3.010182 3.951805 5.278404 7.123492 9.962706
2025-08-03 1.720590 2.252674 2.962740 4.001490 5.520300 7.722785 11.281424
2025-08-10 1.617587 2.160634 2.904029 4.023433 5.716105 8.266515 12.579105
2025-08-17 1.486960 2.018597 2.761613 3.907317 5.688723 8.460494 13.332592
2025-08-24 1.391294 1.918139 2.669217 3.854200 5.747412 8.787888 14.343148
2025-08-31 1.315533 1.840475 2.603119 3.833119 5.850645 9.192745 15.538078
2025-09-07 1.281022 1.820544 2.620461 3.941706 6.172173 9.995808 17.574744
2025-09-14 1.219230 1.755095 2.562948 3.923867 6.277116 10.429434 18.968308
2025-09-21 1.155255 1.683737 2.493438 3.883967 6.345864 10.816292 20.355940
2025-09-28 1.064548 1.565767 2.342924 3.696791 6.136523 10.663667 20.601187
2025-10-05 1.024870 1.525741 2.314775 3.715850 6.301388 11.242077 22.516079
2025-10-12 0.998025 1.504347 2.315121 3.783638 6.561896 12.038243 25.064690
2025-10-19 0.974999 1.487548 2.321533 3.861902 6.849008 12.923359 27.996639
2025-10-26 0.948092 1.462640 2.312283 3.910208 7.081179 13.721489 30.878882
2025-11-02 0.918390 1.431302 2.289776 3.931543 7.260237 14.425951 33.668331
2025-11-09 0.868740 1.363678 2.200035 3.818641 7.151191 14.469448 34.681646
2025-11-16 0.832254 1.316788 2.144271 3.766989 7.165788 14.798388 36.562338
2025-11-23 0.802909 1.280804 2.105948 3.746487 7.244907 15.288980 39.021162
2025-11-30 0.793868 1.279704 2.130432 3.852081 7.610044 16.522224 44.031431